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PedroAsani |
160. RE: Work it in
Jun 3 2012, 8:21 PM EDT
"i believe in medieval times(in europe) the average population density was between 10-20 persons per square mile so meaning that means without modern agriculture we could support roughly that amount of people maybe more depending on where you live since europe is pretty cold so winters are longer and more sevior i believe so since the average population density of the world would in my opinion PSTF be even less than that of africa in precolonial times(africa was very under populated by the beginning of the 20th century it only had between 90-133 million people) we could afford more or less to have a slight population boom without causing major problems since in my opinion communities will be come more agrarian and also because probably the rural areas will have a much lower percentage of dead than the urban areas."Punctuate, boy! Punctuate. That entire thing is one long sentence. Do you find this valuable? |
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wantmarmite |
161. RE: Work it in
Jun 3 2012, 10:08 PM EDT
"What exactly are the non-pharmaceutical options?There are lots of non-hormonal and non-mechanical birth control options. They just aren't usually as effective. But they work. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fertility_awareness As more research has gone into women's fertility, the effectiveness of charting has greatly improved. You not be able to check for basal body temperature post apoc. But cervical mucous and cervical position could still be gleamed. Followed correctly, FAM is 98% effective. Which is equivalent to condoms. Even the rhythm method is 80% effective. Compare with the sponge which is 85% effective. Wild carrot seeds have been used from the American appalacian mountains all the way to India as an equivalent to the morning after pill for many generations. Herbal abortion can work, but are not strictly safe. Pennyroyal can also cause bleed out. I think the difference between now and generations ago, is that people were used to so many children dying. They didn't even name them at birth. They waited to see if they lived. I don't think most women from this day and age are just going to accept that. I think they'll take what control they can and hold off on pg until there are clinics/hospitals and aren't looking around at the remnants of a war zone. Do you find this valuable? |
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redcomrad |
162. RE: Work it in
Jun 4 2012, 9:50 AM EDT
" I think they'll take what control they can and hold off on pg "Unlikely who says women will have all that much control? Also considering men are pretty horny and so are women so meaning children will be born because knowledge among the general public of natural ways of birth control(ie wild carrot seeds) is low that means children will be born whether its by accident or not is a whole different matter. People have been making babies in circumstances similar, look at the Darfur refugee camps people making babies even though they shouldn't in conditions like that. Rape will be common in lawless areas with ought rules and laws we are just as primitive as any other animal. sorry for being a cynic. Do you find this valuable? |
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redcomrad |
163. RE: Work it in
Jun 4 2012, 9:50 AM EDT
"i believe in medieval times(in Europe) the average population density was between 10-20 persons per square mile. So meaning that means without modern agriculture we could support roughly that amount of people maybe more depending on where you live, since Europe is pretty cold so winters are longer and more sevor. I believe so since the average population density of the world would in my opinion PSTF be even less than that of Africa in precolonial times(africa was very under populated by the beginning of the 20th century it only had between 90-133 million people) we could afford more or less to have a slight population boom without causing major problems, since in my opinion communities will be come more agrarian, and also because probably the rural areas will have a much lower percentage of dead than the urban areas.Fixed. sorta. Do you find this valuable? |
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PedroAsani |
164. RE: Work it in
Jun 4 2012, 10:46 AM EDT
"There are lots of non-hormonal and non-mechanical birth control options. They just aren't usually as effective. But they work.For a certain definition of "work". I trust the rhythm method to fail far more than that number implies. 80% is "when followed correctly". But at that point, how many people fail to follow the instructions? Most of them, would be a safe guess. None of those listed are truly safe and convenient. They require planning and self control, which means they have the enormous potential to go wrong. And yes, I think they will die in great numbers. Which is something else to plan for. But thinking people will hold off because of this? Even if you sit them down and explain it to them, they won't all stop. They won't all break out calendars and charts. Some of them will believe that they will be the exception to the rule. See this board for examples. Do you find this valuable? |
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wantmarmite |
165. RE: Work it in
Jun 4 2012, 11:32 AM EDT
"Unlikely who says women will have all that much control? Also considering men are pretty horny and so are women so meaning children will be born because knowledge among the general public of natural ways of birth control(ie wild carrot seeds) is low that means children will be born whether its by accident or not is a whole different matter. People have been making babies in circumstances similar, look at the Darfur refugee camps people making babies even though they shouldn't in conditions like that. Rape will be common in lawless areas with ought rules and laws we are just as primitive as any other animal. sorry for being a cynic."Okay, I just looked at the fertility rates in Darfur refugee camps. They have low fertility rates and Sudan saw their fertility rates decline with the Darfur conflict. A place where women aren't taught to read. And still, a dip in their birth rates. Birth rates are high during times of peace and prosperity. War, poverty and disease aren't good on fertility. One of the things that greatly improve the mortality rate for women and infants is prenatal screening. Many small risks, can be large risks when left unfound and untreated. Breach birth, shoulder dystocia, malnutrition, gestational diabetes, placental abruptions, preeclampsia, infections, twins etc... I think you're being overly optimistic that the birth rate would return just as soon as small areas were secured. As for rape victims, I'm curious what their survival rates would be. In places where the pill isn't commonly used, about 17% of victims become pregnant. Consider infections, injuries and depression. Suicidal and self-destructive pregnant women post-apocalypse would die easily. How many babies would be conceived and carried to term under those conditions? I don't think conception from rape would result in many children even if it was common. But no one knows for sure. Do you find this valuable? |
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wantmarmite |
166. RE: Work it in
Jun 4 2012, 11:38 AM EDT
"For a certain definition of "work". I trust the rhythm method to fail far more than that number implies. 80% is "when followed correctly". But at that point, how many people fail to follow the instructions? Most of them, would be a safe guess.I hear human stupidity is limitless. If you're right, this would be a prime example. Do you find this valuable? |
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redcomrad |
167. RE: Work it in
Jun 4 2012, 11:36 PM EDT
"I hear human stupidity is limitless. If you're right, this would be a prime example.so your saying pedro is stupid? tis is a bold one indeed. Do you find this valuable? |
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wantmarmite |
168. RE: Work it in
Jun 4 2012, 11:53 PM EDT
"so your saying pedro is stupid? tis is a bold one indeed."huh? How do you come to that conclusion? He said people were too stupid to follow the instructions of something as simple as the calendar rhythm method. Sure, the options aren't all truly safe and convenient. But pregnancy, childbirth and parenting are a hell of lot more unsafe and inconvenient post-apoc. The options aren't fail safe, so I would expect accidents. But to fail to follow simple instructions when a person weighs the risks vs benefits is incredibly stupid. He might be right. People might be that stupid. I really hope not. Do you find this valuable? |
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AlphaOneFour |
169. RE: Work it in
Jun 5 2012, 5:56 AM EDT
"He might be right. People might be that stupid. I really hope not."The only reason that humans are around is because of sex, and sex is enjoyable (mostly). Stopping people doing something enjoyable is ultimately doomed to failure, as my revision sessions show, and thus people will continue coital relations, despite the associated risks. In short, yes, people will be that stupid. Do you find this valuable? |
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PedroAsani |
170. RE: Work it in
Jun 5 2012, 8:02 AM EDT
"He said people were too stupid to follow the instructions of something as simple as the calendar rhythm method. Sure, the options aren't all truly safe and convenient. But pregnancy, childbirth and parenting are a hell of lot more unsafe and inconvenient post-apoc. The options aren't fail safe, so I would expect accidents. But to fail to follow simple instructions when a person weighs the risks vs benefits is incredibly stupid.Try this. There are two rules for the Contraceptive Pill. Take one pill at the same time every day, and don't take any other medications without checking with your doctor. How many times do people skip the pill for a day, or take it at varying times, or take other medicines which render it ineffective? And how much more difficult is it to track an ovulation cycle and plan your life accordingly? Stupidity is not a line, it isn't a case of x IQ points is smart, or dumb. Stupidity is compartmentalised. I can be in a restaurant, see a waiter SET SOMEONE'S FOOD ON FIRE, put it out with a lid, and the customer will immediately pick it up and put it in their mouth. Stupid, right? But she was able to operate a car to get there, in heavy traffic. How about a nurse with a syringe of suspected HIV+ blood? You would think they are smart enough to be careful with it, right? But there are cases where someone has sat on the syringe and injected the entire contents into themselves. Someone ending up pregnant? Too damn easy for it to happen. Do you find this valuable? |
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wantmarmite |
171. RE: Work it in
Jun 5 2012, 8:38 AM EDT
You couldn't enforce a ban on sex. I wouldn't plan to go celibate for decades. Not many people would. I'd think new children would be a good thing if you can keep mother and child alive. I just wouldn't be playing russian roulette myself. I don't know how many people screw up the pill. I expect more common sense from people. Figuring out when you're ovulating is basic biology or following a calendar is even simpler. I don't expect the elimination of risky choices, just a little common sense. Do you find this valuable? |
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redcomrad |
172. RE: Work it in
Jun 5 2012, 8:46 PM EDT
"huh? How do you come to that conclusion?i thought you refereeing to him saying that he was an example of limitless human stupidity and that his post is a prime example. sorry about that Do you find this valuable? |
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wantmarmite |
173. RE: Work it in
Jun 5 2012, 9:00 PM EDT
"i thought you refereeing to him saying that he was an example of limitless human stupidity and that his post is a prime example. sorry about that"Sorry if I wasn't clear. Do you find this valuable? |
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redcomrad |
174. RE: Work it in
Jun 5 2012, 10:21 PM EDT
"Sorry if I wasn't clear. "language barrier i guess the east coast and west are very different. Do you find this valuable? |