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Vault-tech. |
Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 22 2010, 12:38 AM EDT
Generally, people discuss Z-day as a sudden event that strikes out of no where. So fast that entire countries fall with little to no government involvement. I want to hear your thoughts about how fast the zombie apocalypse will actually happen. Starting from patient 0, how long will it be before 10 are infected? 100? 1000? 10000? 1000000? As well as describe any government involvement during each stage of the infection if any, and at what stages will airports shutdown, quarantines start, ect... 1 out of 1 found this valuable. Do you? |
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Survivor15 |
1. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 22 2010, 12:46 AM EDT
"Generally, people discuss Z-day as a sudden event that strikes out of no where. So fast that entire countries fall with little to no government involvement. I want to hear your thoughts about how fast the zombie apocalypse will actually happen. Starting from patient 0, how long will it be before 10 are infected? 100? 1000? 10000? 1000000? As well as describe any government involvement during each stage of the infection if any, and at what stages will airports shutdown, quarantines start, ect...Personally, I think that if the zombie virus were to be effective worldwide, it would have to remain inactive in the host(s) as it spread around the world. A doorhandle here, a cough there, and eventually most areas of the world would be affected. People would realize at some point that there was a major problem, and the governments would try to find solutions, but realize that they too were infected, and it was too late. This is the most plausible way for It to happen that I can imagine. I would imagine a span of about 2-3 weeks for optimal conditions, but that is just my theory. Do you find this valuable? |
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PyroPredator |
2. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 22 2010, 12:50 AM EDT
With the speed of travel in this day and age, people can get infected and cross half the world before signs are even shown in them that something may be wrong. I think that govenments around the world will be hesitant to believe that something is wrong and try to cover it up in there own way. Eventually it will spread beyond their control and the populace will have to be told or will figure it out on there own.
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Vault-tech. |
3. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 22 2010, 12:52 AM EDT
Personally I think the spread will be slow at first. I think it might be 5hr-72hr before more than ten have been infected. At this point there would be little media attention, and barely an incident report made by the military if anything. After 10 has been infected, the pace will pick up dramatically, infecting 100 in little under one day. The media would announce it as either scattered incidents, or as a minor crisis. The military will be gathering intelligence and the national guard would be on alert. After a few hours, 1000 will be infected, and the media will be issuing warnings to local areas around ground zero, special forces operation would be conducted to determine if the infection was an act of war by another nation. After that the infection will rise exponentially, causing school, airports, and harbors, to shut down. Ground Zero would be quarantined yet the infection will still rise. Violence would occur in the streets as major cities fall to looting and killings, on top of the infection. The government would be rationing out supplies in 'safe spots' set up through out the country. Eventually the government would fall, and the infection would have hit every major city through out the country, and remaining people would flee to isolated areas. The end of zombies would come with their starvation rather than military prevention. Do you find this valuable? |
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AlexHigginbotham |
4. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 22 2010, 1:32 AM EDT
The United States......2 weeksThe World..........Month and a half The 2009 swine flu went nation wide in like a month, and it started on some farm in mexico. Do you find this valuable? |
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Roach1 |
5. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 23 2010, 1:04 AM EDT
Really I agree with the two posters above.It wouldn't take long for the US to fall to zombies. For the entire world, I would say 2-3 months. Do you find this valuable? |
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PedroAsani |
6. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 23 2010, 7:34 AM EDT
The spread of the disease is entirely dependent on a few factors.>Point of origin. If the only people around are a small village in a remote location, it will be contained a lot longer than if Patient Zero escapes an underground lab just outside New York. > Incubation time. Tricky one this. A short incubation time increases the spread locally, but a long time is needed to get it working globally. Get infected, get on a plane, get off the plane. That takes a long time, and if someone spots you are sick, they will get medical teams for you. That means greater chance of you being isolated and quarantined. End of spread. > Infection rate. The closer to 100%, the quicker it spreads. > Communication. The sooner people acknowledge the threat and move to contain it, the sooner it will be stopped. If they ignore it, then WWZ is the only outcome. Infection is typically an exponential growth curve. 1 becomes 4, becomes 16, becomes 64, becomes 1024, becomes 16834. How quickly you travel along that curve, and how steep the curve is, all governed by what I have written above. Do you find this valuable? |
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SovietPrince |
7. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 24 2010, 10:06 PM EDT
"Personally I think the spread will be slow at first. I think it might be 5hr-72hr before more than ten have been infected. At this point there would be little media attention, and barely an incident report made by the military if anything. After 10 has been infected, the pace will pick up dramatically, infecting 100 in little under one day. The media would announce it as either scattered incidents, or as a minor crisis. The military will be gathering intelligence and the national guard would be on alert. After a few hours, 1000 will be infected, and the media will be issuing warnings to local areas around ground zero, special forces operation would be conducted to determine if the infection was an act of war by another nation. After that the infection will rise exponentially, causing school, airports, and harbors, to shut down. Ground Zero would be quarantined yet the infection will still rise. Violence would occur in the streets as major cities fall to looting and killings, on top of the infection. The government would be rationing out supplies in 'safe spots' set up through out the country. Eventually the government would fall, and the infection would have hit every major city through out the country, and remaining people would flee to isolated areas.the news will [sanely] call it rioting. then someone will post a video of 10 zombies mauling a guy on the web, and then everyone will know. but by then it might be too far spread. Do you find this valuable? |
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PyroPredator |
8. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 24 2010, 11:24 PM EDT
^^^^Or they will post the video and the media will call it a hoax, playing with the minds of other people and that will only cause more problems.
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mudroll |
9. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 24 2010, 11:31 PM EDT
"^^^^Or they will post the video and the media will call it a hoax, playing with the minds of other people and that will only cause more problems."And anyone who believes that hundreds of videos popping up with zombie attacks in them is a hoax is a moron. Especially if the media just says it without proof. 1 out of 1 found this valuable. Do you? |
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AlexAtWork |
10. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 24 2010, 11:41 PM EDT
">Point of origin. If the only people around are a small village in a remote location, it will be contained a lot longer than if Patient Zero escapes an underground lab just outside New York."I hate to butt heads with you Pedro, but I don't think point of origin will make that big of a difference. By the time we figured out what HIV/AIDS was, %80 of the countries in the world had recorded cases. The supposed origin of H1N1 was in a very remote location in Mexico. If I remember correctly, It had made its way to the US at around 2 weeks, Europe in 4 weeks, etc. While an outbreak in NYC would only take, lets say less than a week to claim the tristate area, the difference between that and a remote location is only a matter of a couple weeks or less. A couple weeks is a huge running start in a survival situation, but I'm guessing people assume the difference is a matter of months. I am also assuming we are refering to the stereotypical means of transfering the zombie virus, IE; bites, blood, all bodily fluid, etc. Even without it becoming airborne or waterborne, violent hosts will spread a zombie virus much faster than H1N1, and WAY faster than HIV/AIDS. At best, origin will only amount to a couple weeks, pending we are lucky enough that it isn't airborne or waterborne. Do you find this valuable? |
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Watlington |
11. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 25 2010, 12:00 AM EDT
i think it will be patient 0 has been infected he bites a person they think he was crazy and then take a week off of work and go to europe or other countries for vacation he becomes zed then bites people in europe cycle goes on to arfica in brazil and so on
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PedroAsani |
12. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 25 2010, 8:35 AM EDT
"I hate to butt heads with you Pedro, but I don't think point of origin will make that big of a difference.It won't make a difference in the long run, but I was talking about the initial infection time. In a village of, say, 50 people, once they are all dead or infected then the zombie has to physically travel to another village. This takes time, and if you were to graph the number of zombies in existence, then the curve would start small, and stay fairly small until it hit a large population zone, at which point it would explode upwards. But if the outbreak begins in NYC, then it will start rising a hell of a lot quicker. And because NYC is a transportation hub for the globe, it would reach it's peak well before the village outbreak. They would both get to the same number of zombies eventually, but the NYC one would be there first, and have been bigger for longer. I'll see if I can make a graph for it, it will explain a lot better than my words. 1 out of 1 found this valuable. Do you? |
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Reggy1 |
13. RE: Don't blink, you might miss it...
Mar 25 2010, 9:01 AM EDT
"And anyone who believes that hundreds of videos popping up with zombie attacks in them is a hoax is a moron. Especially if the media just says it without proof."then most people will probably believe it Do you find this valuable? |